Omg.

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Re: Omg.

Postby Amanda44 » Sun Apr 14, 2013 5:59 pm

toshirohayate wrote:
Amanda44 wrote:
NOOBY93 wrote:...Who stores mussels?

I do. :lol:

I pick them up as I go along, rather than go out specifically for them, therefore, I wait until I have enough of them to make it worth while standing there and boiling them. :D

I do the same thing. Actually, I am posting this while boiling them. xD


Fingers-crossed! - :D

BlueKGB wrote:I have cooked over a 1000 mussels, and never got a pearl. I have since refused to ever waste space on clams again. :(


Awww, lol, I don't have much luck with them either. :(
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Re: Omg.

Postby Mateusz_Zboj » Mon Apr 15, 2013 8:51 am

With exactly 1000 you have circa 99.995% chance of hitting at least one ;)
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Re: Omg.

Postby drevnyy » Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:37 am

NOOBY93 wrote:I just got a pearl from 1 mussel, and I had 4 survival so the mussel was Q7. FML. A year ago, I got 2 pearls from 6 mussels. So my question is, what's the best ratio that happened yet?



about 1 pearl/cupboard in common
sometimes 0 from 3 cubs sometimes 3 from 1 cub but never less than 1 cub/1 pearl
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Re: Omg.

Postby krikke93 » Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:22 am

BlueKGB wrote:I have cooked over a 1000 mussels, and never got a pearl. I have since refused to ever waste space on clams again. :(

Lol that's normally half a pearl necklace
Hope you have a great day
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Re: Omg.

Postby toshirohayate » Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:43 pm

Mateusz_Zboj wrote:With exactly 1000 you have circa 99.995% chance of hitting at least one ;)


Lolwut. No you don't. You have 1%. The number of mussels you have is irrelevant. Always 1%. You boil all 1,000 and could get 1,5,60, or 1,000. Or even 0.
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Re: Omg.

Postby Potjeh » Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:45 pm

That's not how statistics work.
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Re: Omg.

Postby DDDsDD999 » Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:08 pm

toshirohayate wrote:
Mateusz_Zboj wrote:With exactly 1000 you have circa 99.995% chance of hitting at least one ;)


Lolwut. No you don't. You have 1%. The number of mussels you have is irrelevant. Always 1%. You boil all 1,000 and could get 1,5,60, or 1,000. Or even 0.

1 + 1 = 1
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Re: Omg.

Postby toshirohayate » Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:13 pm

DDDsDD999 wrote:
toshirohayate wrote:
Mateusz_Zboj wrote:With exactly 1000 you have circa 99.995% chance of hitting at least one ;)


Lolwut. No you don't. You have 1%. The number of mussels you have is irrelevant. Always 1%. You boil all 1,000 and could get 1,5,60, or 1,000. Or even 0.

1 + 1 = 1


% != whole. :p

1% of 1,000 == 1% of 1,000,000 == 1% of 10. It's a percentage. o.o
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Re: Omg.

Postby TeckXKnight » Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:40 pm

toshirohayate wrote: % != whole. :p

1% of 1,000 == 1% of 1,000,000 == 1% of 10. It's a percentage. o.o

That is not correct. 1% of 1000 is a 1/1000 chance whereas 1% of 10 is 1/10 and 1% of 1,000,000 is 1/1000000. I think what you're trying to say is that every single attempt is a 1% chance but the odds are that you will get closer to the median if you do it more than once.

To put it simply, if you had a 50% chance, you would expect to fail once for every 2 attempts that you made. If you tried 10,000 times, you'd expect 5000 successes. Sure, you can succeed every time or fail every time, but odds are that you will be much closer to 50% success rate.

With a 1% success rate, you'd expect 1 pearl every 100 tries. Yes, it can be more or less, but odds are in favor of it being 1 in 100. If you try 1,000 times, as you are likely to succeed once every 100 times, your odds of having at least 1 success are above 99%.
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Re: Omg.

Postby Cerbreus » Mon Apr 15, 2013 10:48 pm

yeah its like playing roulette....

You have 1% chance each time u boil a mussel...

the failure factor doesn't stack.
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