Haven player numbers graphed

[weshesh]

I graphed W9-W13 player numbers using data from the Haven Population Tracker to rank them and attempt to predict W13 longevity. https://www.havenandhearth.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=49&t=41293


I'd speculate that W12 kept player numbers high initially because it coincided with pandemic lockdowns and that W13 is a regression to the mean.

Raw data
https://pastebin.com/f5CAtZrv

I'm sure some of you have better data that would be more amenable to curve fitting, and I would ask that you share it.

[noindyfikator]

Means an average world ends after ~ 215 days

[weshesh]

Means an average world ends after ~ 215 days

Based on wiki data the average hafen world is closer to 400 days.

Code: Select all

8   173
9   324
10   755
11   399
12   392
   408.6


[Betelgeuse1284]

Thank you, was interesting to see it this way

[noindyfikator]

Means an average world ends after ~ 215 days

Based on wiki data the average hafen world is closer to 400 days.

Code: Select all

8   173
9   324
10   755
11   399
12   392
   408.6


I am looking on graph.

On ~215 day, players stop leaving. Stable number of players is playing (around 150-200). Means world is dead.

[MagicManICT]

On ~215 day, players stop leaving. Stable number of players is playing (around 150-200). Means world is dead.

Means the game needs something to cause an increase in awareness and to attract players before then.

@everyone: Maybe compare this graph to games that have release cycles and player decay.

[SnuggleSnail]

The login counter is per account not per IP. This dataset is worth a lot less than you're giving it credit for

[MagicManICT]

The login counter is per account not per IP. This dataset is worth a lot less than you're giving it credit for

Implying only a dozen people are running 10 accounts each?

[Nightdawg]

So the crashes didn't kill this world. Something else kills the world every world. hmmmm

[vatas]

I've been under impression that every world reset has been more successful than the previous, but apparently w11 has the current day 1 peak record?

So the crashes didn't kill this world. Something else kills the world every world. hmmmm

Server has been more stable than ever (even on first week peak player counts aside couple of hiccups on the first hours), are you talking about client crashes?