Yeah I meant more of a if Russia becomes overconfident and this powder keg goes. From what I understand though finland doesn't fuck around and has already rebuffed the ussr love dance. They seem crazy hardened enough to do it again.
Not sure if Ukraine is a foregone conclusion though. A guerilla defense with the intelligence capabilities of nato could be really costly to an aging military power. Afghanistan was a shitshow for the US and they didn't have the US feeding them intel.