Smelting probability.

[Orpheus]

I understand it's based mainly on your Industry Personal Belief. Does the kind of ore also matter? As in, will Tin Ore have a higher probability than Gold?

One more question: Anyone has an idea on the success % at Half Industry and Max Industry?

[Moogie]

I think the rates must depend on ore type, for sure. My full Industry alt barely ever gets more than 4 Iron out of a full smelter of 24 Ores, yet my full Nature was getting the same rates from a Tin mine a few weeks ago.

[Orpheus]

Well, at half industry I got 1 bar from 25 Tin Ores. ;_;

[Zamte]

I think the rates must depend on ore type, for sure. My full Industry alt barely ever gets more than 4 Iron out of a full smelter of 24 Ores, yet my full Nature was getting the same rates from a Tin mine a few weeks ago.

It is based on ore type, but I'm not sure how much variance there is between the non-precious metals. We've got all three here, and I've mined them all plenty, and I don't see any difference that can't be explained comfortably by sheer luck. However silver and gold will very rarely ever produce metal, and do so as nuggets rather than bars.

[sabinati]

smelt rate is determined by the type of metal (common metals all have the same rate i think) and the industry slider of the character that mined it. who loads the smelter and lights it doesn't matter.

[Orpheus]

Anyone happens to have an estimate on the actual probability, in percentage if possible? So far with middle Industry I have gotten from Tin Copper: 1/25, 2/25, 3/25, 1/25. In average 7% success rate.

[Darkren]

As far as I know, neutral Nature/Industry gives a 10% chance for common metals, -2% for every point of nature, +2% for every point of industry. If you're going to do extensive testing, be sure to have a large sample size.

[Orpheus]

As far as I know, neutral Nature/Industry gives a 10% chance for common metals, -2% for every point of nature, +2% for every point of industry. If you're going to do extensive testing, be sure to have a large sample size.

Ah, thanks!
That makes a lot of sense. So full nature would mean a 0% success rate, which can be proven easily. If it increases linearly it would make sense for full industry to be 20%.

[Potjeh]

I thought it's 10% at neutral, half at full nature and double at full industry. I think silver had a 3.33% chance for a nugget, and gold 2.5%, but don't quote me on that.